The Nepal-India-China courting

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Nepal’s location between India and China is a fact of geography. China and India are both changing, and Nepal too is experiencing far-reaching changes. This is reality. Historically, Nepal has been the meeting point of two great civilisations, and today the central Himalaya is one of the epicentres of an impending global paradigm shift. A small nation between two big powers is considered to be ‘revenge of geography’. Translating revenge into reward requires political skill and diplomatic ability to manage relations with emerging and current superpowers. Will ‘Rising China’ and ‘Shining India’ go the way of other great powers as they march forward to attain the status anticipated of them in the future? And if so, how are relations between them likely to evolve and affect the neighbourhood and Nepal in particular?
Economic growth prospects in both India and China remain high with the former expected to grow at over 7 percent and the latter at around 6 percent. Trade is becoming a significant dimension of economic integration and bilateral relations between the two. Foreign direct investment (FDI) flow is relatively small now, but could see a quantum jump. So, on the whole, initiatives like the China-Nepal-India economic corridor, trilateral cooperation, One Belt, One Road (OBOR) and Nepal’s aspiration to be a bridge between our two great and friendly neighbours should have a positive impact on Nepal-India-China relations.

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